Romney 32%- Santorum 30% – Gingrich 9%- Paul 7% -That’s what the current poll from Rosetta Stone and the Michigan Information Research Service says. Their poll of 420 likely Michigan voters yesterday showed the two front runners in a statistical dead heat, with Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul statistically tied in the single digits. A week ago, Santorum led by 9% and nearly two weeks ago, Romney led by 15%. The politically scientific term for this is “topsy-turvy.”
According to John Garst, President of Rosetta Stone Communications, “Michigan remains extremely close; however recent polls conducted over the last few days indicate that there has been a fundamental momentum shift back to Mitt Romney.”
The poll also indicates that being from Michigan is helping Romney in Michigan, says Steve Mitchell, President of Mitchell Research and Communications.
“Romney’s lead is also being fueled by the 25% of the voters who say they are “more likely” to vote for Romney because he was born and raised in Michigan. With those voters, Romney leads Santorum by a whopping 40% (59%-19%) while he trails by 11% (34%-23%) among those who say it would make them “less likely” to vote for him based on that information or that it would make “no difference.” Clearly, being from Michigan is a huge factor for Romney,” said Mitchell.
If Michigan’s favorite son is having to fight for his political life in his home state, how is Georgia’s favorite son doing in his home adopted state? Well, a recent InsiderAdvantage Poll (Disclosure: an organization I work for) shows: Gingrich 26% Romney 24% Santorum 23% Paul 12%.
To an audience in Fayette County, Gingrich compared the GOP presidential contest to a roller coaster: “This has been a little bit like riding a roller coaster. In fact, I tell folks it’s a little bit like the roller coaster at Disney that’s in the dark,” he said. “If you’ve ever ridden Space Mountain, you don’t know what’s coming next. You don’t know where you were, and you’re not sure where you’re going.”
Well, we know it’s NOT going to Michigan, anyway. And so does Newt, who will be skipping Michigan, paying lip service to Arizona, and concentrating his campaign efforts in Georgia and Tennessee.